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Blue Tokai opportunity underscores growing investor appetite for India’s specialty coffee sector – Dealspeak APAC

  • India’s coffee sector becoming increasingly institutionalised, with 24 transactions between 2022-2026
  • Minority growth investments to remain dominant in near-term
  • Specialty coffee segment to reach USD 6.52bn by 2031, outpacing broader coffee market growth rate

India’s coffee sector is attracting increasing interest from financial and strategic investors, driven by the rapid growth of the specialty coffee segment, with Blue Tokai Coffee Roasters emerging as the latest theme-backed investment opportunity.

The major specialty coffee chain operator is currently drawing interest from financial investors for a potential USD 100m investment following its Series D round in May. The capital raise would support its expansion plan to more than triple its café footprint to 800 outlets by FY30 as it seeks to capitalise on India’s fast-growing premium coffee market.

India’s coffee market, valued USD 9bn in 2025, is emerging as Asia’s new market to watch after a decade of investor focus on China, with its projected 8% CAGR outpacing APAC’s 6.2% and the US’s 4.5%, according to an April 2026 report by BDA Partners.

India’s coffee sector is experiencing a new wave of dealmaking in recent years. 24 transactions have been announced between 2022 YTD and 2026 YTD, accounting for nearly 47% of all deals recorded since 1998, according to Mergermarket data. Deal count reached a record seven transactions in 2026 YTD, while disclosed deal value reached USD 88m, the highest since 2023 YTD.

“Recent activity reflects increasing institutionalisation of India’s coffee sector although it is premature to conclude that a sustained consolidation cycle is underway,” said Ganesh Prasad, Partner at Khaitan & Co.

“Institutional capital is becoming more prominent alongside founder-led expansion. The transition to broader consolidation will depend on the availability of acquisition-ready businesses, valuation alignment, and the commercial rationale for combining platforms,” he said.

The trend also reflects a shift in India’s coffee M&A landscape. Historically, deal activity was sporadic and centered on larger strategic transactions.

Mergermarket data shows intermittent deal activity in 2002, 2007, 2010, and 2017. Since 2022, however, deal activity has been more resilient and increasingly focused on specialty coffee brands, café operators and direct-to-consumer platforms, reflecting investor confidence in the sector’s long-term growth potential.

Tata’s food and beverage group’s USD 310m acquisition of a 42.52% stake in Tata Coffee, the coffee plantation operator, in 2022, remains the sector’s largest transaction. A series of growth capital raises backed by private equity, and venture investors have followed since then. A consortium led by WestBridge Capital invested INR 4.08bn (USD 42.6m) in Third Wave Coffee in a Series D round in June while Sleepy Owl raised capital in April 2026.

“We expect minority growth investments to remain the dominant transaction structure in the near term, with selective control acquisitions likely to emerge as domestic and international investors seek established platforms with proven operating economics,” said Prasad of Khaitan & Co.

New-age brands reshape the market

Investor attention has centered on a new generation of specialty coffee companies including Blue Tokai, Third Wave Coffee, Sleepy Owl, Subko, abCoffee, and Nothing Before Coffee (NBC).

The trend is driven by premiumisation, rising incomes, and evolving consumer preferences, marking a shift from a market long dominated by Café Coffee Day in café retail and FMCG (fast-moving consumer goods) players in packaged coffee.

The specialty coffee segment, valued at USD 3.01bn in 2025, is expected to reach USD 6.52bn by 2031 at a CAGR of 13.7%, nearly double the growth rate of the overall coffee market, according to TechSci Research. About 104 branded coffee chains compete in India, operating 5,339 outlets nationwide in 2025, according to data from World Coffee Portal. 

The premiumisation trend has also supported businesses across the value chain, beyond café operators.

Sedna HoReCa recently invested INR 500m (USD 5.3m) in Kaapi Machines India, highlighting investors’ interest extending to coffee equipment. Specialty roaster and machine manufacturer Cohoma Coffee and Bengaluru-based coffee-first QSR brand Drickle also secured INR 50m and INR 60m in seed funding, respectively.

Established specialty coffee chains and premium packaged coffee brands are continuously likely to attract strategic interest, Prasad said.

While the sector could also attract international players seeking established platforms, he added that valuation expectations, profitability at scale, shareholder alignment, and exposure to coffee-price volatility as key considerations for acquirers.

Food-safety compliance will also be among the key diligence considerations for potential acquirers. Prasad added that the sector’s evolution is likely to be shaped more by “the quality of underlying businesses” than by transaction volumes.