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Asia private equity 2026 previews

•  Feast and famine on the menu for Asia private equity fundraising, exits
•  Sentiment still bullish on Japan, India, Australia, while China could rebound
•  Artificial intelligence, private wealth top of mind as GPs look to future

 

Fundraising: KKR, Affinity in focus, Australia to lead mid-cap space

  • Gap between haves and have nots remains wide in Asia private equity fundraising
  • Japan on course for a quieter year in 2026, but Australia will see mid-market glut
  • Opinion still divided on China as more managers prepare to return to market

Exits: Asia to edge higher, helped by China outbound M&A

  • China strategics set to acquire PE-backed companies amid mixed views on IPO outlook
  • Despite tariff anxiety subsiding, industry will be more aggressive in generating liquidity
  • Continuation vehicles to be cemented as market fixture regardless of macro backdrop

Japan: Structural deal drivers, market stability to drive deal flow

  • Take-private opportunities expand with ongoing governance reform
  • Non-core divestments extend from industrials to healthcare, consumer
  • GPs expect more sponsor-to-sponsor deals, as IPOs remain difficult

China: Buyouts set to rise, but mixed signals cloud exit market

  • Control deals to proliferate amid stabilised macro, moderating growth, attractive valuations
  • Opportunities span consumer, healthcare, industrials, with more deals of USD 300m-plus
  • Monetisation channels opening, but only quality companies will navigate exits backlog

Australia: Middle market PE investment, fundraising hots up

  • Regulatory uncertainty will only temporarily impede deployment in 1H26
  • Fundraising to tick up as GPs specialise, LPs receive distributions globally
  • Investees need international footprint to maximize value, offset macro risks

India: Domestic capital, thriving exit markets underpin scaling

  • Increasing local LP participation may support GP formation
  • More global, regional players will add India to Asia agendas
  • Public markets to remain healthy amid structural tailwinds

Value creation: Asian GPs still scrambling to catch up on AI

  • Sceptics must be swayed as AI creeps into Asia’s value creation agenda
  • Most GPs in Southeast Asia have no value-add plan prior to investment
  • Operational overhauls late in holding period signal buyer beware market

Deep tech: Rest of Asia poised to challenge China’s dominance

  • Government initiatives mobilise public, private funding to cultivate deep tech
  • Investment opportunities will centre around physical AI, related supply chains
  • Success will hinge on discipline in monetisation, understanding local advantages

Private credit: Talent remains key constraint to growth in Asia

  • Participation in Asia private credit to increase with mixed bag of actors
  • LPs to scrutinise manager talent as fundraising outlook remains subdued
  • India will be fastest growing market despite structure, pricing concerns

Private wealth: Evergreens to diversify, see performance scrutiny

  • Focus stretching from core markets like Japan, Australia to elsewhere in Asia
  • Products becoming more thematic, raises questions about ability to scale
  • Young evergreens reaching point where they can be judged on performance