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New US IG issuers tantalize convertible bond market as volumes rise

Investment-grade companies are becoming a driving force behind a new wave of convertible bonds, according to market participants.

The market in the US has had a strong first start of the year in volumes. Around USD 42.55bn of CB volume has been priced on US exchanges. Many of these deals came from a new crop of investment grade issuers that had never hit convertible bond markets before.

Largest US converts of the year

Pricing Date Company Company Nationality Exchange Sector Total Deal Value (USDm)
23-May-2024 Alibaba Group China NYSE Computers & Electronics 5,000
06-Mar-2024 Albemarle Corp United States NYSE Chemicals 2,300
20-Feb-2024 Global Payments United States NYSE Computers & Electronics 2,000
21-May-2024 JD.com China Hong Kong Exchange; NASDAQ Computers & Electronics 2,000
18-Jun-2024 NextEra Energy United States NYSE Utility & Energy 1,950
22-Feb-2024 Super Micro Computer United States NASDAQ Computers & Electronics 1,725
06-May-2024 Southern Co United States NYSE Utility & Energy 1,500
04-Jun-2024 Trip.com Group China NASDAQ Computers & Electronics 1,500
13-May-2024 MKS Instruments United States NASDAQ Computers & Electronics 1,400
13-Mar-2024 Coinbase Global United States NASDAQ Computers & Electronics 1,265
29-May-2024 Microchip Technology United States NASDAQ Computers & Electronics 1,250
08-Jul-2024 Welltower United States NYSE Real Estate/Property 1,035
27-Feb-2024 NextEra Energy Inc United States NYSE Utility & Energy 1,000

Source: Dealogic

“Around 40% of the US deal volume this year has come from new issuers, and a number of investment grade companies at that,” said Ilyas Amlani, managing director and head of Americas & EMEA Equity-linked at HSBC.

Almost 50% of the issuance came from IG issuers, well above any historical, he noted. The figures were up on last year, which was also an improvement over the long term average.

The funding of share buybacks is among the drivers for issuance, especially in the US market, as shown by notable examples such as cross-border issuers Alibaba [NYSE:BABA] and JD.com [NASDAQ:JD], as well as GlobalPayments [NYSE:GPN] earlier this year.

Another driver for issuers to price US converts has been to refinance other debt, with the product an especially good way to repay short-term commercial paper and bank debt drawings. The lower coupons in the CB market are attractive on a relative basis as opposed to debt alternatives, Amlani noted.

Damien Regnier, head of convertible bonds at Tyrus Capital, said an increase in IG issuers was expected.

For about a decade, ultra-low interest rates effectively priced out quality issuers.

“Why would you be looking to lower your coupon payment with a convertible if you can already issue straight bonds at close to 0%,” Regnier noted.

Graph showing USD quarterly convertible deal volume and count from 2Q20 to date

Ivan Nikolov of Fisch Asset Management concurred that the IG wave is good news for equity-linked issuance as a whole.

“It’s certainly positive to see more convertibles from higher credit quality issuers. The creditworthiness of an issuer is paramount for the asymmetry (convexity) of the convertible bond payoff vs the stock price,” he said.

“The convertibles of the more speculative and risky issuers often fail to provide adequate protection of capital when stock prices fall significantly, he added.

HSBC’s Amlani noted increased levels of engagement amongst issuers that have never looked at the product, as well as a process of re-educating others who hadn’t considered the instrument in the past 5-10 years given low interest rates.

“It feels like we will have a positive second half to the year,” he said.